Conservatives Lead by Eight

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The latest Canadian Press/Harris Decima measure of voting intentions reveals:

Nationally, the Conservatives lead by 8 points. Over the latest week, the Conservatives stand at 36%, to 28% for the Liberals, 19% for the NDP, 8% for the BQ, and 7% for the Greens. Over the last two weeks, the Conservatives stand at 38%, to 28% for the Liberals, 17% for the NDP, 8% for the BQ, and 7% for the Greens.

  • Four parties are now competitive in the province of Quebec. Over the latest week, the BQ stands at 33%, the Liberals are at 24%, the Conservatives 21%, the NDP 15% and the Greens 5%. Over the last two weeks, the BQ is at 33%, the Conservatives 23%, the Liberals 22%, the NDP 13% and the Greens 6%.
  • The race is tied in Ontario. In the latest week, the Conservatives are at 36%, the Liberals 36%, the NDP is up to 22%, and the Greens are at 6%. Over the last two weeks, the Conservatives are at 37%, the Liberals 37%, the NDP 18% and the Greens 6%.
  • The Conservatives are surging in BC. Here, over the last two weeks, they stand at 47%, to 23% for the Liberals, 20% for the NDP and 9% for the Greens.
  • The Conservatives are well in front on the Prairies. In Manitoba and Saskatchewan they hold 46% support, to 26% for the NDP, to 18% for the Liberals, and 7% for the Greens. In Alberta the Conservatives are at 59%, to 14% for the Liberals, 13% for the Greens, and 12% for the NDP.
  • The Liberals hold a slight lead in Atlantic Canada. Here, they stand at 39%, to 34% for the Conservatives, 20% for the NDP and 5% for the Greens.

Each week, Harris/Decima interviews just over 1000 Canadians through teleVox, the company’s national telephone omnibus survey. The most recent data were gathered between April 14 and April 17, 2011 for 1,008 completes. A sample of the same size has a margin of error of 3.1%, 19 times out of 20. The two week data were gathered from April 7 to April 17, 2011 for 2,026 completes. A sample of the same size has a margin of error of 2.2%, 19 times out of 20.